Monday, April 4, 2011

A Steady Stream: Probables For 04/05/2011

A Steady Stream will be a semi-regular column that looks at probable pitchers starting games tomorrow and owned in approximately less than 50% of all ESPN and/or Yahoo! leagues that could be "stream-worthy" if they are available in your league.

Here are my Stream-Worthy Starting Pitchers for games to be played on Tuesday, 04/05/2011 and the level of RISK associated with streaming:
  • Anibal Sanchez, FLA (65.6% ESPN; 46% Yahoo! owned) @ home vs WAS (Jason Marquis) - In the first three games of the season, the Washington Nationals, as a team, are batting .209 with 1 HR and 8 Runs Scored. RISK: LOW
  • Derek Lowe, ATL (58.1% E; 59% Y!)  @ MIL (Yovani Gallardo) - Reports have Lowe using his slider more and increasing his K/9 from a career rate of 5.9 to a rate of 8.6 over his last five starts of 2010. He opened 2011 with 6 K's in 5.2 IP (9.5 K/9) and faces a Brewers team that strikes out a lot but also hit home runs (7 in 4 games). RISK: MODERATE
  • Gavin Floyd, CHW (24.4% E; 50% Y!) @ KC (Luke Hochevar) - The White Sox are scoring runs in bunches (8 runs per game) and Floyd should be the beneficiary of this lineup facing Hochevar. RISK: LOW
  • Mike Leake, CIN (1.1% E; 4% Y!) @ home vs HOU (J.A. Happ) - As a team, the Reds are batting .350 in their first three games. Leake should be able to control an Astros offense (and I use that term lightly) that has a 28/3 K/BB ratio. RISK: LOW
  • Jo-Jo Reyes, TOR (0.1% E; 1% Y!) @ home vs OAK (Dallas Braden) - Toronto is back to hitting home runs and scoring runs while Oakland is pitching well but struggling offensively. Is Reyes worth owning? This start will speak volumes about his fantasy value. RISK: MODERATE
Other possible streamers I'm simply avoiding:
  • Michael Pineda, SEA (16.9% E; 31% Y!) @ Alexi Ogando, TEX (3.8% E; 8% Y!) - This could turn into a slugfest with two rookie pitchers going. I've got my eye on these two pitchers for future streaming opportunities. RISK: HIGH x 2
  • James McDonald, PIT (4.2% E; 11% Y!) @ Kyle McClellan, STL (5.7% E; 30% Y!) - Again, too soon in the season to commit to either of these guys but worth monitoring. RISK: MODERATE x 2
  • Chris Young, NYM (1.2% E; 17% Y!) @ PHI (Cole Hamels) - The Phillies, even without Chase Utley, can be a scary offensive team, especially at home. RISK: HIGH
Is it too early to already be looking at streaming a pitcher or two? Was that part of your draft strategy (LIMA Plan)? What are your personal feelings on streaming pitchers and the practice that may take place in your league? Are there policies in place to deter such behavior (IP limits, transaction limits, etc)? Share your thoughts in the comments section.


  1. Nobody is there like New york Yonkees pitchers.

  2. How'd I do with my recommendations?

    -Sanchez's line: 5.2IP, 7H, 2ER, 3BB, 7K and did not factor in a decision. Not a bad stream.

    -Lowe's line: 6IP, 5H, 1ER, 3BB, 7K and was on the losing end of Gallardo's CG shutout. Is Lowe really turning into a strikeout pitcher? A very successful stream, other than the loss.

    -Floyd's line: 7IP, 7H, 4ER, 2BB, 5K and got a ND. Four earned runs and no win makes this a less than favorable stream.

    -Leake's line: 6IP, 3H, 2ER, 2BB, 4K and a QS and Win. The perfect stream.

    -Reyes's line: 3.1IP, 9H, 5ER, 1BB, 3K and a ND. UGH! Reyes will be on waivers until he puts together a couple of quality starts.

    -Pineda and Ogando were both VERY GOOD and I wish I would have recommended streaming them. I'm looking forward to seeing who they match up against in their next starts.

    -McDonald only went 4.2IP with 4H and 4BB allowing 2ER while McClellan put up a great line of 6IP, 6H, 2ER, 1BB, 7K but got a ND. He'll be worth owning if he can put up those numbers consistently.

    -I knew there would be risk in the NYM/PHI game but who knew it would have been Hamels that would have been blown up. Young had 7K in 5.1IP but also had 4BB.

    Not a bad night of streaming pitchers. Hopefully you were able to take advantage of some of these opportunities.