Saturday, July 23, 2011

Line of the Day: July 22nd, 2011

Nelson Cruz went 4-for-4 with a home run and a career-high eight RBI as the Texas Rangers routed the Toronto Blue Jays 12-2. He had only one RBI in his previous 11 games. (video recap)

Line: 4 AB | 1 R | 4 H | 8 RBI; 2B | HR

My fantasy perspective: Cruz now has 22 home runs and 64 RBI in 81 games and could make a strong run at 40/100 be season's end. Problem is, he's never stayed healthy enough to play more than 128 games in a season.

His numbers show he's striking out more (25.7 K%) and walking less (6.6 BB%) than his career rates. As a result, his batting average (.252) and on-base percentage (.302) are down but his slugging percentage is up (.524), leading to a robust .272 ISO.

Question: How many home runs and RBI do you expect Cruz to finish with this season?

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