Line of the Day: July 1st, 2011

Jair Jurrjens of the Atlanta Braves pitched a one-hitter for his first career shutout in a dominant 4-0 victory over the Baltimore Orioles. He became the first NL pitcher to reach 11 wins.

Line: 9 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, 8 K; W, QS, CG, SHO

My fantasy perspective: Jurrjens is tied for the major league lead in wins with 11 and leads the majors in ERA at 1.89. Not bad for a pitcher with an ADP of 225. But hold on a moment. A deeper look into his numbers show a low K/9 rate of 5.42 in 2011 and a historically high BB/9 rate over his career (3.04). His xFIP of 3.66 and 84% LOB rate are two statistics that should cause owners some alarm.

You need to ask yourself if you believe Jurrjens can continue putting up these overly-impressive numbers or if it's time to sell while his value might not ever be higher. He's the eighth-ranked starting pitcher behind two guys you may have heard of: Cliff Lee (6th) and Clayton Kershaw (7th). Just imagine the haul trading either of these guys could bring in when you start placing a value on trading away (or for) Jurrjens.

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