Saturday, July 2, 2011

Line of the Day: July 1st, 2011

Jair Jurrjens of the Atlanta Braves pitched a one-hitter for his first career shutout in a dominant 4-0 victory over the Baltimore Orioles. He became the first NL pitcher to reach 11 wins.

Line: 9 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, 8 K; W, QS, CG, SHO

My fantasy perspective: Jurrjens is tied for the major league lead in wins with 11 and leads the majors in ERA at 1.89. Not bad for a pitcher with an ADP of 225. But hold on a moment. A deeper look into his numbers show a low K/9 rate of 5.42 in 2011 and a historically high BB/9 rate over his career (3.04). His xFIP of 3.66 and 84% LOB rate are two statistics that should cause owners some alarm.

You need to ask yourself if you believe Jurrjens can continue putting up these overly-impressive numbers or if it's time to sell while his value might not ever be higher. He's the eighth-ranked starting pitcher behind two guys you may have heard of: Cliff Lee (6th) and Clayton Kershaw (7th). Just imagine the haul trading either of these guys could bring in when you start placing a value on trading away (or for) Jurrjens.

Agree? Disagree? Check out ESPN's formula for determining the best daily performances and nominate your own Line of the Day player using the comments section or hitting me up on Twitter.

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